War in 2024. Why the West begins to prepare plans for Ukraine for next year

"Since major successes have not been achieved this year, planners consider how preparation and new equipment can change the balance on the battlefield in Ukraine in the spring," - with such a headline the authoritative American edition of The Wall Street Journal has been published.

According to the observers, the West is worried that the war in Ukraine will move into the format of "muffins", the forces of defense will spend ammunition, equipment and live power, and dissatisfaction with further support from voters will increase. On this basis, the authors note that by the spring of next year, Kiev needs more Western equipment and experienced military for successful counter -offensive actions.

"I think now in the US administration realize that Ukraine will not be able to return all its territories in the near future," - quotes the publication of the former US Ambassador to NATO Ivo Dalder. In fact, the material itself looks like an attempt to sell a good clickback headline, because the text does not have any facts or official comments from the existing authorities in the West.

If the Ukrainian media has already learned that military results love silence, then for Western journalists, this topic is a source of traffic. For example, at the end of April 2023, CNN wrote that Ukraine needs to accelerate the pace of counter -offensive because it could lose support. By the way, the counter -offensive itself did not even begin.

Subsequently, The Wall Street Journal wrote that the slow pace of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces was put by US President Joe Biden in an uncomfortable position. The German edition of Bild, citing a non -public report of the German Defense Ministry, reported that Ukraine's defense forces are poorly absorbed. It is said that Ukrainian defenders are divided into small units, which leads to the disorganization of their actions.

Focus has already said that such critical statements about the course and the results of the counter -offensive are detached from reality and have only a component that should influence the information field. It is a kind of hostilities in the information space to give the enemy a distorted understanding of the situation. For example, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoiga has already stated that Ukraine has almost exhausted all military resources.

He said this in the process at the XI Moscow Conference on International Security. In contrast, US generals note that Ukraine has not yet put into operation. According to the Major General of the US Army retired and the former NATO Davis Secretary General Assistant, the Ukrainian military continues to adapt faster than the Russians. Gradually, the Ukrainian command will attract more of their crews, trained and equipped with NATO. He told about it in the same gender The Wall Street Journal.

It is reported that more than 60,000 Ukrainian servicemen have been trained in the Alliance troops. Speaking of facts, in 2024, the US Senate has previously approved the defense budget project for 2024 for a record $ 886 billion, which is also funded for Ukraine. That is, in the case of its final approval, Kyiv will have financial and resource support, regardless of the result of the US President Elections.

Next year, Ukraine will receive five another Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems, and the F-16 pilots are prepared. Former Director General of the Directorate for National Security and Defense at the Presidential Office of Ukraine Ivan Apocin notes that it is not necessary to pay attention to criticism of American journalists on counter -offensive results. Such calls are not official positions of power.

"To be honest, I do not see the point commenting on journalists or analysts, because they are not the official position of the White House. If it is official statements, then we can say that we are given the opportunity for one more attempt. We do not hear it. It has passed its culmination, ahead of at least two months, so we wait. . Barushin draws attention to the visit to Kiev by the Chief of Defense Headquarters of the United Kingdom, Admiral Tony Radakin.

"I think he didn't just come to us," the interlocutor suggests. Military experts claim that the results of the counter -offensive should wait without unnecessary "betrayal and victories". For example, they refer to liberation operations in Kharkiv and Kherson in 2022. However, from the war in 2024 he has not gone, says military expert Pavel Narozhny. According to him, it is likely that it will be a campaign for the liberation of Crimea, which is logical to prepare now.

"We need to understand that we now have an offensive, not a counter -offensive, as we say. We attack the enemy in well -prepared positions. As soon as we break through the so -called" Surovikin "line", the offensive will go faster, a real opportunity to get to the administrative border with Crimea and Azov coast. Therefore, it is really logical to start preparing for the Crimean campaign. In my opinion, this year the winter will be repeated for 22-23 years, with positions without active offensive.

Therefore, it is absolutely realistic that the war will continue in 2024. In the Crimean The enemy peninsula, as in the mousetrap, if we cut the land from the Russian Federation and destroy the Crimean bridge, then the issue of liberation only in time, "says the focus of the Narozhny. According to military expert Oleg Zhdanov, our fire opportunities are evaluated in the West as well as in Ukraine. It is clear that we can hardly expect to go to the borders of 1991 this year.

Therefore, the main goal and achievement of this year's campaign will be to enter the coast of the Azov Sea. Then this offensive will be successful. "Transfer of war in Ukraine to 2024, as it is not cynical, but coincides with the plans of the White House. There is convinced that the transfer of weapons can regulate the course of war in Ukraine. I will remind that the presidential elections will take place next year.