The collapse of Russia, the split of Eurasia and the financial crisis. What will happen when the war of India and Pakistan

The situation is exacerbated between India and Pakistan, which in different configurations could enter into the overall structure of the future Global Eurasian Island and are already members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), created on the initiative of China, the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan in 2001. The participants of the SCO are Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Iran, Belarus.

And in 2017, India and Pakistan joined the SOS at the same time, which was then compared with the simultaneous joining of NATO Turkey and Greece. The wars between India and Pakistan have occurred periodically before. But now countries have arsenal of nuclear weapons. The chronology of current events is. Cashmir tourists terrorist attack, where 28 people were killed. Among the participants of the terrorist attacks are citizens of Pakistan.

Against this background, India began to revise the Indus Water Act, which was signed with Pakistan. In response, Islamabad stated that any hydraulic planning of water resources would mean war. Pakistan announced the closure of its airspace for India, and India was terminating trade with Pakistan (although the volume there is insignificant - up to $ 2 billion per year). By the way, the day before in India was a visit to US Vice president Jay Di Vance.

The war between India and Pakistan can bring the first with the United States and Britain, and the second - with China. In addition, the war is torpedo and the project of the Global Eurasian island within the Russian Federation, China, India and Central Asia, which follows from this geopolitical structure.

For China, it is the collapse of the southern branch of a new silk path across Pakistan and enormous risks for the sea corridor of the new silk path, which, in particular, is based on the Pakistani port of Gadar and the Chinese-Pakistani trade and economic corridor. That is, there is a risk to the traffic of Chinese goods by the sea to the EU and oil flows from the Middle East to China.

The defeat of Pakistan will mean the displacement of China from South Asia into the central and weakening of Beijing's position in the Middle East. In this case, Iran will be next. In the case of India's failure, Dreyf Delhi to the Russian Federation and China as a Panirazian geopolitical force should be expected. And as the main result is the institutional crystallization of the global Eurasian island.

But such a war will also mean the collapse of the world financial markets, inflation and world recession. This is in addition to the story with tariffs. Most likely, Beijing and Moscow will try to stop the situation and freeze the escalation. Because Beijing and Moscow are trying to blind the format of the global Eurasian island, not to split. Washington will observe. On the one hand, the US has the desire to get closer to Delhi, on the other - Pakistan has the status of a US ally outside NATO.