Aleppo storm, Assad escape: All known about the new war in Syria (Cards)

On November 27, the forces of the opposition from Idlib opposed to Bashar Assad's regime began an attack on the big city of Aleppo, which, with the support of the Russian forces, returned under control in 2016. The focus found out about how the events of the last days have evolved in the country of the last days, and what geopolitical consequences.

The Civil War in Syria broke out in 2011 after under the influence of the Arab Spring in the country, protests against the current President Bashar al -Assad began in the country. Stress arose on the basis of political and ethnic problems, and was also heated by the fact that Syria is a multi -ethnic and multi -denominational country where power was concentrated in the hands of a small Alavite elite, while the majority of the population was Sunni.

During the war in Syria there were numerous forces that could be divided into several categories: the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) - the government forces of Assad regime, supported by Russia, Iran and until recently a terrorist organization Hazbolla. Opposition forces or Syrian rebels.

The rebels are divided into two main groups-moderate opposition forces in the south of the country, or more precisely at the junction of Jordan and Iraq, where the large military base of the United States is located, and the rebels in the north, including Hayat Tahrir Ash-Sham (HSSh) and Syrian National Army (SNA ) under the patronage and with the support of Turkey. Jihadist groups. Among them, the most famous is the Islamic State (IDIL), which opposes both Caa and opposition.

Arabic groups and Kurds. These are the so-called detachments of the YPG people's self-defense, which, with the support of the United States, control the northeastern regions of Syria and fight against ISIL and, to a lesser extent, against Assad regime. In the morning of 27 Hayat Tahrir Ash-Shaam forces (HTSh) and their allies from other groups began a major offensive on the province of Aleppo in several directions, taking a number of important positions in seven settlements.

It is reported that the settlements of Ball, Hirdrakl, Cabtan-el-Jabal, Salum, Al-Maari, Kasimia, Cafor-Bisen and Havar were captured. The advancing actively involved artillery. The fighting developed rapidly and by the evening of the same day it became known that the opposition forces were 7 km from Aleppo itself.

According to the Telegram channel of the Defense Army Officer of Israel in the retired Igal Levin, the insurgents received the first jerk with almost no loss, in addition, the blow was applied suddenly, which sowed disorganization and panic in the ranks of the Syrian Arab army. After the first success, the opposition forces began to publish on the network frames of captured prisoners and trophies.

It should be noted that among the captured equipment and weapons were Russian samples-T-72M1 tank and a pair of BMP-1, which indirectly indicates the defeat of armed groups of the Russian Federation, which are fighting on the side of Assad regime. In this regard, we will add that there are no official confirmations on the part of Moscow, but some Russian military speakers write that a group of "Russian experts got into the environment" and there is information about losses.

It is also emphasized that at the time of the impact of a sufficient amount of forces of CAA for its repeling at hand, and those who defended themselves, ran, opening the road for fast deep breakthroughs. The low density of the Syrian Army forces in this area does not allow to organize a confident defense, Russian sources write. In addition, SAA has serious problems with fuel against the background of the economic crisis.

Because of this, on the evening of November 27, there were reports that the rebels managed to take control of 17 occupied villages west of Aleppo. Meanwhile, resistance from government forces was still in battle - the artillery of the Army of Assad, as well as Russian aviation, entered the battle. The next day, the offensive operation of rebel groups headed by HTSh at the position of Assad regime continued.

On November 28, they launched the second offensive to the south, in the area of ​​Serakib, where tens of thousands of inhabitants live. According to Financial Times, the rebels of Syria have already released 15 settlements from the Assad army and killed one of the high -ranking commanders of Iran. It is probably a brigade General Kvir Keyomers Purhashimi, who played the role of a "military adviser".

According to cartographic levant24 resources, at least three more settlements were occupied by Thursdays Thursday and released to the outskirts of Aleppo. The rebels break portraits of Bashar al -streets, as well as the symbolism associated with Russia. It was also reported that the insurgents cut the most important M5 route, which connects the industrial center of Aleppo with the central region of the ham, which caused a tangible blow on the logistics capabilities of the SAA.

The fact is that control of this road is strategic to all parties to the conflict. For Assad army, it serves as the main route of supply of troops, and for the opposition - a means of pressure on Damascus. The capture of the road has seriously complicated the logistics of government forces, limiting their capabilities for operational maneuver and the transfer of resources.

It should be noted that at the time of the publication it became known that the forces of the rebels had already entered the city's borders, which confirms the breakthrough and their rapid promotion. Profile resources publish the first personnel of entry with appropriate comments. "We urge our fellow citizens in free Aleppo to cooperate with their sons, rebels, to get rid of the criminal regime and expel it," the rebel words quoted.

The situation in northern Syria has attracted the attention of world players who have been actively involved in the Syrian conflict for many years. The offensive of Jihadist groups, the capture of the key areas of the M5 highway and the promotion to Aleppo have become a serious challenge for all parties with interests in the region. Russia, one of the main allies of Bashar al -Assad, found itself in a difficult task.

Despite the air strikes on the positions of fighters, its ability to support the Syrian army is significantly limited. The fact is that the war in Ukraine requires considerable resources that narrows Moscow's capabilities in Syria. Earlier, Wagner mercenaries played a key role in stabilizing the front, but now their presence is minimal, and the group leader Yevhen Prigogine, who was a significant figure in the Syrian campaign, probably died.

The loss of control over the M5 strategic route can undermine the position of Assad regime, which is a serious threat to Russia, which has invested significant resources in support of the Syrian government. At the same time, Turkey continues to actively influence the course of events. There is an assumption that the groups involved in the offensive are closely related to Ankara, which emphasizes its desire to strengthen the position in northern Syria.

Turkey has always regarded the northern regions as a zone of its strategic interests and actively supported the opposition. However, its actions run the risk of complicating relations with Russia. Despite the previously reached agreements on Idlib, Ankara seems to be increasingly strengthened by the alliances with the Anti -Assad. The United States, in turn, showed determination to ensure the security of their interests in the region.

Recent air strikes on the bases of Proiran groups in the Homs province have been response to potential threats to the US military bases. The US military leadership stated that such actions are necessary to prevent attacks by Iran's forces. Iran, which traditionally supports Assad, has also faced serious challenges. His key allies, such as Hezbolla, have suffered losses from Israeli Air Force in Lebanon and Syria.

Thus, the Israeli army confirmed the liquidation of the high -ranking commander of Hezbolla Ibrahim Aquila. Therefore, the weakening of the Proiranian forces makes Damascus's positions even more vulnerable, especially against the backdrop of escalation of conflict with the opposition. Thus, exacerbation in the north of Syria demonstrates how internal fighting affects the geopolitical placement of forces in the Middle East.

The capture of the M5 rebels not only complicated the position of the Assad army, but also became a litmus test that shows how much the balance of power in the region changed. All geopolitical players are now forced to view their strategies in a new round of confrontation. We will remind, according to unconfirmed data, Bashar Assad, which has been President of Syria since 2000, has arrived in Russia in connection with the onset of Aleppo.

However, Halab Today, which published information, referred to "Unnamed sources". Rumors were commented by the speaker of the President of the Russian Federation Dmitry Peskov, more precisely he refused any comment. "I have nothing to say about this issue," the Kremlin's representative told reporters. At the same time, he added that the onset of insurgent forces is "an encroachment on Syria sovereignty in the region.