By Natali Moss
When attacked with UAVs only, you will need regular attacks on one and that oil refinery for several weeks. Or one but mass: not 1-2-3 drones, but at once 20+. And for critical equipment that is not recovered quickly. In other cases, the result of the attack may be a temporary decrease in shipments. And this is not the whole range of products. Therefore, what is happening today has a psychological effect. Or it is a "shooting".
Analyze the enemy's actions both in protecting objects and changes in logistics. There is also a direct military effect. In order to protect its oil refining, the Russian Federation will be forced to relocate the air defense and ETB. Their number is not boundless. To put it somewhere, you need to remove it from somewhere.
And will it be the front line (or the nearest rear) or other objects in the Russian Federation? Which, accordingly, gives a broader opportunity to choose the goals of Ukrainian attacks. For understanding, I will give an example with the attacks of the Russian Federation on the Kremenchug Refinery. In the spring of 2022, only 6 (April) + 9 (May) rockets flew to the plant. And May is X-22. The shipment of petroleum products was renewed every time.
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