According to analysts, activity on the battlefield will begin in a few weeks. The enemy expects when the land in the eastern and southern regions will finally freeze and try to move forward. He has no such opportunity yet. The Russian literary critic and theorist of alternative history Sergey Pereblegin, continued in the report, already noted that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation prepare offensive actions between January 12 and February 2, 2022.
In his opinion, Ukrainian troops allegedly will be "depleted", defending positions near Avdiivka in Donetsk region and on the left bank of the Kherson region. At the same time, the Russian critic notes that the occupiers may not have enough living force for the forecast surgery. But another Russian military blogger says that the number of military personnel of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation makes it possible to carry out various maneuvers, but "breakthroughs" can not be expected.
Frosty weather can also play an important role, which does not allow both parties to carry out active terrestrial activity, as well as use artillery and drones throughout the front line. For example, one of the Russian military bloggers stated that this is one of the reasons why the enemy's army could not move north of the settlement of Verbovoy Zaporizhzhya region.
Also in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation problems with aviation due to difficult weather conditions, as noted in OK "South". "Low temperatures in Ukraine are likely to hold back operations on the front, but most likely to create more favorable conditions for mechanized maneuvers as the soil freezes in the next weeks. To keep the initiative regardless of winter weather and terrain, but will not be able to make significant breakthroughs promptly, " - summed up in ISW.
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