Trump and Harris will negotiate with Russia: What will the US election end
The focus figured out what to expect in the near future given the latest statements of the parties. Youugov's "National Voting" points out that Democratic Harris is still ahead, though he has lost 3 percent, compared with the past survey - 47% by 46%. Moreover, 40% of voters have been remotely voted and the Vice President in the leaders. As a result, if the forecast of the portal comes true, then Kamalla Harris will receive 250 votes of the states in the states, and Donald Trump - 219.
In ABC News, they are sure that everything will happen on the contrary and it is the Republican who won after November 5 - 226 guaranteed votes for Harris and 262. for Trump. The Times has a difference and at all 1% in favor of a democrat. It is almost impossible to predict who will fall in the white house on the next four, because both candidates are gaining momentum, then on the contrary - fall in the rating.
By the way, in Iowa, according to DES Moines Register, Kamala Harris was able to escape, although in 2016 and 2020 he won Donald Trump - 47% against 44%. NBC News Survey. The TV channel also decided to find out how the voices of the Americans were shared at the end of the election race, but he did not give clarity. Both candidates have 49% of the votes from respondents, and the remaining 2 are the same citizens who still do not know who to prefer.
The last days before the election are extremely important for candidates for the post of US President, as some of the citizens have not yet been decided and their votes may become decisive. Before winning or playing, Trump and Harris continued to attend rallies in different states where they tried to convince Americans but used different rhetoric, they wrote in The Washington Post.
Kamala Harris, speaking in Michigan, put forward a number of proposals for economics and health care, focusing on how much her presidency methods from Donald Trump will differ. The Republican, as she thinks, will focus on the so -called "enemies list", while she allegedly put into life. From military conflicts, Democrack mentioned only the war in gas, WP reported.
She stated that the year was extremely difficult because of the scale of destruction and movement of the population, however, if it becomes president, then it would allegedly do everything to put an end to the confrontation. Nothing was said about Ukraine. Also on November 2, Kamala Harris appeared on the American show Saturday Night Live and played herself in one of the scenes, while actress Maya Rudolf played a policy.
Other presidential candidates also participated there, including Donald Trump, wrote, wrote in Reuters. Donald Trump performed in North Carolina, where he told the voters what a gloomy future could wait for the United States if representatives of the Democratic Party were elected. He called the election in 2020, and he accused his competitor in the surge of illegal immigrants on the border, wrote in WP.
By the way, the politician arrived at the rally for almost 2 hours, when dozens of participants have already left the meeting place. The candidate also said nothing about Ukraine. But the Foreign Policy still analyzed what to expect Kiev after November 5, when the election result is known.
They are convinced that the result can have serious consequences for the crisis available worldwide, including Ukraine, because Washington is the largest military assistance supplier that helps to contain Russian troops at the front. The authors of the material write that if Kamala Harris wins, then the white house's position may not be different from the present and the assistance of Ukraine will continue.
In a conversation with President Vladimir Zelensky in September, she said she would do everything to victory over Russia, but in the last interview she could not answer the question of whether Ukraine supports Ukraine in NATO in the near future. Donald Trump promises to finish the war in one day, but the methods may not be the most favorable for Kiev, according to the former Assistant Minister of Defense of the United States for Europe and NTO Jim Townsnd.
"The help of the US is likely to be" stopped "if the former president is re -elected. If he is not going to use it as a pressure lever on Zelensky," the message reads. At the same time, the sources of the publication close to the Ukrainian government are convinced that the victory of Donald Trump has nothing wrong, because it was his cadence that a decision was made to provide military assistance to Ukraine, and his predecessor, Democrat Barack Obama, considered it a "red line".
"They believe (representatives of the Ukrainian government, ed. ) That Putin will disappoint Trump, which may make him provide Ukraine with more active military assistance from the United States," the source said. Political scientist Oleg Posternak in conversation with focus reported that in any case the changes for Kiev would be, but it would all depend on the candidate.
For example, if Kamala Harris won, then, with great probability, it is worth expecting to the sequence of Joe Baiden's policy: careful, flexible, maneuvene, limited and metered support, so Ukraine will not benefit Ukraine. "Unfortunately, this tactic has proven ineffective in the war for exhaustion. The chance remains to change policy, but for Ukrainian diplomacy it will be necessary to make titanic efforts," - said Oleg Posternak.
The task of Ukraine for the Democrats, continues the political scientist, will convince the team of Kamala Harris to take the following steps: Donald Trump may be more unpredictable, so it is difficult to make forecasts. The Republican often makes impulsive, eccentric decisions where he tries to emphasize his personality, so it is difficult to predict whether it will be a serious support for Kiev, or whether it will be a desire to end the war as soon as possible through peace talks.
But in a conversation with focus, the political analyst Alexander Kochetkov confessed that, in his opinion, the election results would be changed for the Ukrainian side, because Kiev in Washington is not in the first place. "We need to clearly imagine this paradox of the US election because they are too similar to elections in Ukraine.
I mean that as in Ukraine, immature democracy, state policies promise that they are not going to do, but what They are going to do, it is not very difficult It is Trump that we need to call Putin and agree with him about peace. Kamala Harris, as the political scientist says, can become the first woman-president of the United States, which is a completely new sphere, direction and difficulties.
Therefore, Washington's interests will be taken into account first to preserve the world's leading position and prevent China to take this place. Ukraine will only be in 5-6 place in the list of US problems, as there is still a problematic Europe and the Crisis Middle East. In addition, Kamala Harris does not plan to become the first woman-president of the United States to demonstrate the inefficiency of his power, which would close the way to this position in the future.
Donald Trump wants to try to make America "Great Again" again (again big, ed. ) The unfair peace through compulsion to negotiations will also not lead to anything good. "The United States is in a situation that they cannot quit Ukraine. They can help, they can help less, but they cannot completely quit, given the internal situation and the geopolitical situation in the world, it must be understood," Alexander Kochetkov continued.
Already on the morning of November 6, Kiev will understand a more or less clear picture of the one who wins the US elections and which administration will have to deal. The focus was interested in experts if the new American leader would be able to bring peace in Ukraine and whether or not the authorities should prepare for the election.
Political scientist Oleg Posternak says that if one of the conditions of Russia is one of the elections, then the Donald Trump administration, if he wins, will try to talk to Kiev on this occasion and hint in every possible way. At the same time, it is unclear whether the former US president is ready to use this trump card with Vladimir Putin, as Washington's interest is also present here, in particular through the Kremlin's cooperation with China.
"To exchang and hand over to Ukraine by satisfying Putin and taking it off from cooperation with China or it is possible to support Ukraine, thus continuing to exhaust the Russian Federation, giving Ukraine the opportunity to win, to recruit at least some of the territories, in order to prove that aggression will be punished and it will be punished and it will be punished Right from the most powerful economy of the world - the United States of America, " - said Oleg Posternak.
Political analyst Alexander Kochetkov is also convinced that in the event of Donald Trump's victory there will be some calls to Moscow, but it should be understood that such issues are not resolved by phone, and they only allow you to initiate some process.
At the same time, both Trump and Harris will try to hold some peace talks, and it is one of the mandatory points of their cadence, because the war for them is not existential, which is being done until the enemy is completely destroyed, but consists of politics and economics when between the active phases on The battlefield is conducting some conversations. As a result, the political scientist concluded that both candidates for the post of US President would want to complete the war in Ukraine.
"Consultations are currently underway for these negotiations through the same US, and they will not stop for any administration. But the result of these negotiations, on what conditions, this is not yet known to anyone," said Alexander Kochetkov Focus. But as for the possible elections in Ukraine, they want to see them both Russian representatives and the United States, but they have different motives.
In Moscow, they want to change power on the example of Georgia, where politicians are loyal to the Kremlin, but in Washington it is believed that it is a democratic process, without which it is impossible to move on. As a result, if the active phase of war is over and "stopped", then the Allies can start pressing on Ukraine for elections.