Weapons for counter -offensive. What lacks Ukraine to win - secret signals from Ramstin

"On the agenda is a weapon that Ukraine needs to protect and, as a consequence, to move to a counter-offensive," says the head of the Center for Military Legal Research Alexander Musienko. It concerns Ukraine giving the weapons that will help counter -offensive, which means that the US and Ramstein understand, listen to the requests and needs of Ukraine, refers to tanks and armored vehicles. There is significant progress in providing air defense and long -range missiles.

Ukrainian troops, which are conducted effectively. " In addition, experts say that there is a need to meet current needs, namely the supply of artillery ammunition and shells, because we use them in large numbers, reflecting attacks. "This issue is always relevant, because Russia has gone to war on the principles of World War II, with a large number of ammunition.

Therefore, Ukraine needs to support this race and also use a large number of them," says Valery Ryabikh, Director of Development of the Information and Consulting Company. "It became known that France and Australia will join the supply of ammunition for Ukraine. Such a powerful tandem should ensure a significant increase in production and supply. The US has also accepted a significant increase in ammunition production.

" Experts are also called that Germany has announced the restoration of ammunition for Gepard tanks. "This demonstrates that Berlin did not wait for Geneva and announced the start of production at Rheinmetall capacity, which gives us hope for supplying additional number of these systems. After all, when partners supply us weapons, they undertake to provide ammunition, spare parts, repair and training ", - the analyst continues.

Musienko notes that talking that Ukraine is using a large number of ammunition is truly conducted, but that does not mean that someone speaks of inefficiency. Ukraine asks as much as it is needed for war. "Effectiveness is confirmed by the fact that Russia has not reached the war and has been forced to leave almost 60% of the territories that it occupied since the beginning of a full -scale invasion," the expert continues.

- The fighting is being conducted very intensively, we need a large number of weapons we use. To the needs and requests, which NATO Stoltenberg Secretary Generals on the eve of "Ramstin", react both the United States and other countries. The United States has allocated $ 522 million to local companies for additional production of shells and ammunition for artillery of Ukraine. These shells have a period of delivery. The Minister of Defense of Germany also declared weapons.

He stated that contracts have already been signed with producers, which would accelerate the reactions of many Western politicians in order to view policy after the Cold War, when it seemed that weapons were not needed. unacceptable. " In addition, the tank coalition is expanding - eight more countries joined it. But such news is only part of the promises of international partners.

As President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky stated after the meeting, it is not possible to speak in public about all arrangements - "a large part should be left behind the closed doors. " For example, Valery Ryabikh mentions Ukraine's request to provide DPICM - cassette ammunition for 155 mm artillery systems, conventional weapons developed by the United States.

"They have not been supplied to Ukraine before, although in the face of mass use by the enemy of living force could be very effective against infantry," the expert continues. "Could increase the losses enemy strengths and techniques and, unlike conventional ammunition, have a radius of up to 100 m. If there are a figure not 1000 destroyed Russians per day, and 5000 - it could demoralize the enemy.

The problem is that these ammunition for a long time They are in the warehouses, and some may not explode, but create a danger for further explosion, when there are civilians. Although, if you look at what is happening in the Bakhmut and Soledar area, it is so minerment there that it will then be necessary to work on demining then very long".

On the eve of the Ramstein format, Defense Minister Alexei Reznikov in Brussels demonstrates a handkerchief with the image of aircraft: "Do you see what?" Reznikov asks. "Fighters. And where do you plan to get them?" - the question is. "From the sky," the minister points up. The issue of giving Ukraine aircraft has become more public in recent months. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy spoke on this topic during a visit to London, Paris and Brussels, and before that in Washington.

But on February 14, Lloyd Austin in Brussels stated: "I do not have any ads about aircraft today. " The minister said that Biden's statement could only repeat-he had previously reported that the United States did not provide the F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine. "The fact that the minister demonstrates a handkerchief is good. It demonstrates our desire and understanding what we need. To date, we have no categorical refusals.

Even German defense minister said that aviation is a matter of three to four months, his It is necessary to discuss,-says Musienko. -Just now international partners set other priorities-in the form of artillery, long-range missiles and armored vehicles. Aviation issues-in work. I think, in the end, the decision for Ukraine will be positive. Poland and Slovakia may be presented first Could, and then be American F-16 or Swedish Gripen. And maybe it will be a parallel process.

" "Austin, answering questions about the F-16, did not give a clear answer-insists and Ryabikh. -Then he was asked about Poland's proposal to pass to us F-16 and MiG-29, to which he said that the US was not against being that Some countries passed to Ukraine weapons, especially Poland. In other words, if Poland wants to pass to us the F-16, the United States will not be opposed. Mig-29. And we know that MiG-29 in Poland and Slovakia were partially adapted for use in NATO " .

When it comes to aircraft, the expert returns to the issue of long -range weapons: "Previously mentioned Storm Shadow, which will be able to get an opponent at distances from 250 to 1000 km. storage of weapons, fuel, ammunition, military equipment, management points. These missiles-air base, air-country class. I do not exclude that they discuss the issues and transfer of aviation equipment together with them. In particular, those that could use these missiles.

And there is one advantage: this rocket can be used for modern aircraft for which it is intended, NATO aircraft, and to adapt to post-Soviet aircraft-MiG-29 or Su-27, which the Minister of Defense could hint. Examples of adaptation, are HARM missiles. " At the same time, the expert reminds that planes can only be provided to Ukraine after the creation of a reliable air defense system, which is now being said.

"I think other breakthroughs, good decisions we will be able to hear during the visit of President Baiden President to Poland. It seems to me that everything will happen about the same as in the question of supplying tanks. Then Ramstein ended, and his results were not It was fully announced and then Biden's announcement of Abrams supplies. Germany declared Leopard. The process went, " - says Musienko. In fact, "Ramstein" is a conversation not only about specific deliveries, but also about politics.

On pressure on Russia on the eve of February 24 - dates a full -scale invasion of the Russian Federation in Ukraine. Let us note what the chairman of the Joint Committee of Staffs, General Mark Millie, says: "Russia has lost strategically, promptly, tactically. It pays an extraordinary price. . . . We will give Ukraine opportunities, support, training. " And US Defense Minister Austin: "We . . . We will help Ukraine to stay during the spring counter -offensive.

Together and urgently, we will reappear again that we promised Ukraine. " Austin, without focusing, remembered that the allies would provide and prepare eight brigades for the Armed Forces of Ukraine. That is, we see at least three messages of the Kremlin. "It is important that Austin said three words:" Spring "," Counter -offensive "," Eight Brigades, " - said the expert of the Center for Defense Strategies, reserve colonel Viktor Kevluk.

gentlemen "In the Kremlin! You have time to start at the spring at least some offensive, because if you do not start, then in the spring you will not. The idea looks good: to exhaust the enemy in defensive battles in difficult areas under adverse weather conditions, to make the existing battle reserves, after which to strike a powerful blow. And maybe not one - fresh, newly formed, qualitatively provided and other tactics. Negotiations at the table.

The "bunker" is expected exclusively on the defendants. " In other words, international partners have gone from caution and unwillingness to lose Ukraine to a determined bet on our victory. In this case, experts do not undertake to say when a counter -offensive can start, and how many weeks Austin spoke. It may be April. "War is the path of deception. Some statements can be misleading," Ryabikh says.

"So far, the timing of equipment preparation, personnel training, combat coordination of units will end by about mid -spring. Weather conditions may be established which would provide for the promotion of mechanized units, I assume it can be a spring-summer campaign, but at the same time it is impossible to underestimate the enemy, he understands the threats to himself, tries to violate plans.