The Kremlin will be ready: the expert explained when the Russian Federation agrees to peace talks (video)

It is important for Ukraine to keep the Donetsk region, 50% of which are occupied by the Russian army, as well as to hold the bridgehead in the Kursk region of the Russian Federation, explained military expert Petro Chernik. In this case, there will be a better position for negotiations when the Russian Federation agrees. The Russians, even having concluded a temporary truce, will continue to try to destroy the Ukrainian state.

At the same time, they suffer from sanctions, a fall in oil prices and the losses of military equipment that are unable to restore. When the potential of the Russian Federation is exhausted and when the Kremlin is ready for negotiations, the military expert Petro Chernik told on the air of Channel 24. Chernik summed up a statement by GUR MOU Head Kiril Budanov on the end of the war in 2025 and explanation of the Institute of War Study (ISW) about 2026.

In his opinion, the Russian Federation will look for a point of freezing hostilities and will try to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. In doing so, she will suffer from the fall of oil prices, as once in the past it affected the USSR. Military equipment will be lost in parallel: for example, 50% of tank warehouses are now devastated, and artillery will not be restored in the next 20 years.

As a result, Chernik called the estimated period when the war will end: from the spring-summer of 2025 the Kremlin will be ready for negotiations and suspension of attacks on Ukraine. "It is important for us to keep the Donetsk region in the limits in which it is 50% occupied and to keep the Kursk bridgehead. When the process of finding the formula of exit from the war is to be finalized - in my opinion, it will be spring summer next year.

And our negotiation position It should be very, very strong, " - explained the military expert. Chernik also touched the pace and scale of military assistance that they receive from partners of the Russian Federation and Ukraine. In particular, he mentioned that during Landliza in the Second World War of the USSR he won 22,000 aircraft from the United States, 12 thousand units. armored vehicles, 126 thousand tons of gunpowder and 3 million tons of aviation fuel.

In addition, he stressed that for the Russian Federation, the war with Ukraine is an existential war that will truly end only with the collapse of the empire. "They do not get Ukrainian in this cycle and they will begin real economic problems next year. Yes, good news will begin," he said. It should be noted that on September 10, the Efe news agency published a possible peace plan of President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky, who would like to end the war in the fall of 2024.

The plan contains four points. Among them are the Kursk breakthrough and the retention of the bridgehead, obtaining guarantees of economic and military security from Western allies, the repair procedure from the Russian state. Meanwhile, in July, the deputy head of the Russian Council Dmitry Medvedev explained that Russia was really ready for negotiations, but will use a truce to penetrate Ukrainians and then again, finally, occupy Ukraine.

In the fall of 2024, Russian President Vladimir Putin recalled that the Kremlin's conditions were formulated in the so -called Istanbul Agreement: Ukraine refuses the occupied territories, reduces the army and refuses NATO. We would like to remind you that on September 17, a military expert explained what the plans of Ukraine on the bridgehead in Kursk region may be.