According to him, red lines that restrict the Western military support of Ukraine are currently more like "faded pink dots". In particular, the United States has already abolished the ban on strikes on Russia with their weapons. "Since the former fierce restrictions on escalation have been rejected in the interests of ensuring the survival of Ukraine, the most inviolable from the very beginning was a ban on the deployment of Western troops.
Now this fundamental ban looks more shaky than ever, since France is considering the possibility of sending military instructors," He added. Hokstader believes that the consequences of such a decision may be more serious and less predictable than in all the previous times when the event agreed to the help he had previously rejected.
According to him, sending wars to Ukraine will lead to a "quantum escalating jump", as European troops can suffer losses, and the political value of the idea that it is a war in which only Ukrainians go to huge casualties to protect Europe under the Russian Federation will suffer. It is noted that the efforts of US President Joe Baiden to support Ukraine, but to avoid the World War, led to self -proceeding and delayed with the provision of the necessary weapons.
At the same time, it exposed the empty nuclear threats of Moscow in response to giving more powerful weapons. "Over the past two years, several Western allies have carried out small training missions in Ukraine. What is now considered by French President Emmanuel Macron seems more ambitious, more public and more risky - even if the instructors he can send will be far from the front line" , - writes Hokstader.
According to him, Macron believes that the event should be kept uncertainty to translate the burden of miscalculation of escalation on Putin.
The author wonders: what if Putin is bitten by Black Macron? In his opinion, the President of France has hardly prepared public opinion for the possible death of French soldiers in Ukraine, and most of France's major NATO allies are strongly opposed to the deployment of troops and "hardly take advantage of French losses to find more direct confrontation with Russia.
" "In fact, Putin can view a blow to French troops if Russian troops are able to find them not only as a way to expose the differences of the West, but also as a chance to humiliate Macron, which is now one of the most hawk Anti -Russian Western leaders. France has powerful armed forces and It is one of the world's leading weapons.
Hokteder also noted that France provides military assistance to Ukraine, but is inferior to the Netherlands, Denmark and Poland by total, not to mention the United States of America, Germany and the United Kingdom. He believes that Macron risks emphasizing his isolation by receiving little benefit if he announces the departure of military instructors to Ukraine on the 80th anniversary of landing in Normandy.
We will remind, on June 3, the head of the Armed Forces of Norway, General Eyrik Christoffersen said that NATO should have time to prepare for the likely aggression by Russia in the next two to three years, because just so much time the Russian Federation will be enough to restore the ability to the Convention War. On the same day, Financial Times published material that states that NATO countries are afraid that Ukraine can lose war and are therefore ready to go to a greater risk.
All rights reserved IN-Ukraine.info - 2022