The offensive of Russia has exhausted itself by 70%: what happens in Kharkiv and Vovchansk

The offensive of the Russian Federation in Kharkiv region turns into a bloody massacre for Russian troops. Foreign media write about it. Ukrainian defenders probably defeated the elite Russian 83rd Airborne Brigade in Vovchansk. What happens at the front in the Kharkiv region finds out the focus. "Russia's offensive on Victory Day (May 9. The beginning of the offensive on May 9, about 30,000 Russian soldiers stuck in the city of Vovchansk, just a few miles south of the border, " - writes forbes.

In Kharkiv day and night sirens and explosions are heard - the city is located only 40 kilometers from the border from the Russian Federation, where in May Russia launched a massive offensive. For more than a month the situation in the border of Kharkiv region has changed several times.

Immediately after the offensive, the experts were worried that this breakthrough could threaten a terrestrial operation up to Kharkiv, but with a rapid overturning of forces and means, providing new weapons partners with international partners, managed to stop the offensive. It was also important that the deterioration of the conditions on the battlefield forced the United States to allow Ukraine to use artillery and missile systems provided by the West for strikes in the Russian Federation.

After that, the attacks on Kharkiv were reduced, although the C-300-year-old missile campaign came no less regular blows to managed airbots. So, the fighting is currently on the border, although in recent days the pressure of the Russian army has decreased. The hottest clashes are in Vovchansk. "This is a city that erased from the face of the earth very quickly and persistently.

Vovchansk is not lucky, it is just too close to the border with the savages that decided to make a buffer zone there," says serviceman Alexander. In Vovchansk, the situation is changing every hour, so it is impossible to give accurate information in the combat situation. This is how the Focus's question is the military expert Petro Chernik. In particular, he does not comment on the fact that Russian soldiers remain in the territory of the aggregate plant in the central part of the city.

Meanwhile, on June 26, the American Institute for War Study (ISW) reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine had recently resumed some of the lost positions in Volchansk. Geolovanized personnel, published on June 25, show that Ukrainian troops advanced along Soborna Street in the city center. And Russian soldiers at the factory can either be captured or suffered.

In general, the fighting continues northeast of Kharkiv - not only near Vovchansk, but also quiet, as well as north of the city - near Lipts and Deep. Petro Chernik explains: "First, the bridgehead, albeit a small one, created. This is a partial success for them. Secondly, a large offensive that stopped in Kharkiv a few weeks ago, significantly decreased. They began to dig this little bridgehead.

" The enemy pulled out Ukrainian troops from the south and from the east, these are capable crews, thanks to them stopped the offensive. The Russian Federation has been throwing more and more forces to Kharkiv region. According to the spokesman of the Kharkiv group of Ukrainian troops Colonel Yuri Powkh, the Russians plan to use the 9th Rifle Brigade of the 51st Army.

In addition, the spokesman of the Ukrainian Khortytsia troops, Lieutenant Colonel Nazar Voloshin, noted that Russian troops intend to transfer to the Kharkiv direction of part of the 155th Marine infantry brigade belonging to the Pacific Fleet, in order to compensate for significant Russian losses. And the losses of the Russians are really great.

Experts point out that it is impossible to replenish them quickly-even the redeployment of the 155th Marine Corps, does not pose a special threat, since this brigade at one time suffered severe losses under the coledar, and the prepared soldiers in its composition are less, most-newly mobilized. "It is very unlikely that the Russians will be able to accumulate the potential to at least one mechanized brigade, which should break the battalion tactical order: 3 kilometers wide and 5 kilometers.

-If the borders of the Russian Federation have already been relocated from the Russian-Finnish border. 39 thousand, in June, about 34-35 thousand. According to Chernyk, since October 7, 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the administrative borders of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, after which a new offensive of Russia began, which has not yet ended. And Kharkiv region is one of the directions. "This offensive has exhausted itself by 70%.

The army of the Russian Federation is really in a state of the attacking side, but we seriously improved the performance from artillery. In January, the ratio Two shells, and it is a lot, but with the increase of help, to store dry weather, we could reflect the Kharkiv bridgehead. He works, ”the expert adds. But the situation is complicated by the shelling of managed airbags (CA), although they are not flying as far as ballistics or winged rockets, but the destructive effect has no less.

It is impossible to knock them down, it is necessary to eliminate the carrier - aircraft of the series. And they can be knocked down, in particular, by F16 aircraft, or by hitting the airfields, which requires permits for the use of ATACMS. The shelling of the border C300 was reduced. As already mentioned, due to the permits received by the Russian Federation with Western weapons. "But the Russians are now redovering the systems.

They earlier they came to the border-at a distance of 50-70 kilometers, and launched rockets. Those high-speed, 9,000 km per hour. 150 kilometers overcome in less than one minute. That is, it was almost impossible to bring them down. Now they think how to act from a further distance, ”the expert explains. However, Russian troops still have the potential for a new breakthrough and potential areas for this purpose. And this is indicated by several signs.

And not only that the enemy was regrouping in the Belgorod region, relocated some units to reinforce. Experts say that the Ukrainian army is still lacking weapons, including a long -range one. "We are lacking weapons. With personnel relatively adequately. We need as much long -range weapons as possible. And this is the main reason for delaying this war. We would give us 600 ATACMS, F16 would already work. But at the same time, the "Second Army of the World" cannot break Ukraine for the third year.

Another military expert, Ivan Stupak, says that it is difficult to predict the actions of the Russian army in the Kharkiv area. In fact, there is a decrease in pressure, but whether they go on the offensive again - depends not only on the situation on the front, but also at the tables. "Can Kharkiv outskirts? Can the third direction in the Kharkiv region? Can. Can parts To reach Kharkiv, to cut our connection with Kupyansk.

Obviously, the offensive in the Kharkiv region is also the efforts of the Kremlin to receive political dividends. First, Putin tries to achieve his order-the exit of the Russian army to the borders of Donetsk region and Luhansk region. And he failed to either his birthday in October 2023 or Victory Day in May 2024. "Even for their super -propaganda machine, it is a very preschool slap. They needed to change the accents.

They would raise tricolor above at least one village in Kharkiv region, they would be submitted almost as a Berlin operation," Chernik said. Secondly, the Kharkiv operation was the Kremlin needed on the eve of the Peace Summit in Switzerland. The Russian Federation had to show that it wanted to have a constant advantage on the front.

"If they really managed to get out at the turn of Kharkiv - let us not forget that Kharkiv, despite the strikes from the sky, remains a large military hub for the Ukrainian army. There are both radio -electronic stations, EWS systems and armored vehicles, as well as rockets of different classes. All this -Missing for the Russians. Third, it is politically advantageous to create an atmosphere of fear. And not only because of the new offensive, but also threats, such as the capture of Kharkiv.