The end of ultimatums and the offensive in the Donbass: Fesenko told when he had to negotiate with Russia

It is about establishing certainty in the relations of Kiev and Washington, says political scientist Vladimir Fesenko focus. It is important for Ukraine to understand whether Western partners have long for military support. Another important point is to discuss negotiation conditions with Russia. This item is extremely important for the event.

Fesenko believes that US Presidential Administration Joe Baiden was dissatisfied with the unexpected start of a military operation in the Kursk region and wanted to consult risks first. Now Washington seeks to understand what to expect from Kiev, he says. Level negotiations with the aggressor are now impossible because Russia is coming in the Donbass and in parallel is fighting in the Kursk region. Moscow will lead a dialogue on its own terms.

Permission from the US and Britain to beat the Russian territory of the Rockets of ATACMS and Storm Shadow will become one of the elements of coercion, emphasizes the analyst. "The start of surgery in the Kursk region, as well as permission to rockets, are instruments of influence. But, unfortunately, we do not get anything from the event in sufficient numbers. It is known that in the US missiles in a shortage," he says. Kyiv will receive permits for long -range weapons.

It is probably the first to be British Storm Shadow, and after the visit of President of Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky to the States in the second half of September, you can also count on ATACMS. The price of war for the Russian Federation will increase due to new weapons, and its offensive potential in the Donbass will decrease, Fesenko is sure.

"The topic of negotiations of Ukraine and Russia will essentially raise only after the presidential elections in the United States and stabilization of the military situation in Ukraine. While Russia there will be an advantage in the offensive and ultimatums - negotiations will not begin," he predicts. Moscow in September has changed the position on peaceful dialogue with Ukraine several times.

Initially, on September 5, Russian President Vladimir Putin states that peace can be established on the basis of Istanbul documents of 2022 through China, India and Brazil. According to the political scientist, China, Turkey and India are demanding that the Russian Federation be completed in Ukraine. On the eve of Brix Summit in October 2024, Putin could not ignore the position of these countries.